• Policy Analysis
    Palestine/IsraelMigrants, Refugees, and IDPs

    A New Opportunity for Palestinians in Syria

    Mar 21, 2025Nidal Betare

    In Syria under former President Hafez al-Assad, liberating Palestine at all costs was a regime slogan commensurate to freeing the Golan Heights of Israeli occu…

  • Viewpoint
    SyriaDemocracy and Governance

    Timeline of the Recent Sectarian Strife on Syria’s Coast

    Mar 19, 2025Radwan Ziadeh

    On March 6, loyalists to Syria’s former President Bashar al-Assad attacked the new government’s troops in the coastal areas of Syria where Assad’s Alawite sect…

  • Policy Analysis

    Revolutionary Legitimacy in Syria: Sharaa as President

    Feb 4, 2025

    In all transitional periods, it is important to move quickly from revolutionary legitimacy to representative legitimacy, which Syria’s new authorities did by a…

  • Policy Analysis

    Liberation from the “Human Slaughterhouse”: A Dark History of Imprisonment in Syria

    Jan 28, 2025

    Assad's regime imprisoned more than 150,000 people, including some 5,000 children. Multiple reports have emerged of horrific torture, neglect, and murder insid…

  • Policy Analysis

    Regime Change in Syria and Stabilization: The Limits of Turkey’s Unilateral Action

    Jan 24, 2025

    Turkey has played a pivotal role in Syria’s conflict, significantly shaping the trajectory of opposition groups, particularly Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS). With…

  • Policy Analysis
    SyriaRegional Relations and Geopolitics

    Egypt Remains Cool to the New Syrian Government

    The Egyptian regime of Abdel Fattah el-Sisi looks upon the recent developments in Syria with a good deal of trepidation. That the Islamist rebel armed group, H…

  • Viewpoint

    A Blind Spot in Post-Assad Syria: The Fate of State Archival Records

    Jan 21, 2025

    The fall of the Assad regime has highlighted a crucial but often overlooked issue: the fate of Syria’s state archives. Former officials have left behind millio…

  • Policy Analysis

    Political Change and the Fate of Syria’s Refugees Around the World

    Jan 16, 2025

    On December 8, the Syrian armed resistance group Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) brought the Assad regime to an abrupt end after more than 54 years of brutal rule.…

  • Policy Analysis

    How Will 2025 Be Different in the Middle East? Perspectives on the New Year

    Jan 15, 2025

    The monumental events that took place in the Middle East in 2024 augur radical changes in the region’s geopolitical environment. Israel’s ongoing genocidal war…

  • Policy Analysis
    OmanRegional Relations and Geopolitics

    Syrian Regime Change: The View from Oman

    Jan 9, 2025Giorgio Cafiero

    The abrupt end of 61 years of Baathist rule in Syria on December 8 caught the Gulf states by surprise. Both governments and citizens of the Gulf Cooperation Co…

  • Policy Analysis

    Damascus Falls, and So Does US Policy

    Jan 2, 2025

    With a presidential transition imminent, US policy on Syria, not to mention the broader Middle East, is in limbo.

  • Viewpoint

    Israel, Syria, and International Law

    Dec 26, 2024

    The fall of Bashar al-Assad’s regime in Syria has provided Israel with yet more opportunities to brazenly tear apart the fabric of international legal norms, f…

  • Policy Analysis

    Rebuilding and Strengthening Syria’s State Institutions

    Dec 23, 2024

    Nour Taha discusses the need for reviving and strengthening state institutions in Syria after the collapse of the Assad regime, stating that they are necessary…

  • Policy Analysis
    SyriaRegional Relations and Geopolitics

    Turkey and the Transition to a Post-Assad Regime in Syria

    Dec 20, 2024Salim Çevik

    Turkey's intervention in Syria and its approach to the post-Assad era reflects a complex interplay of short and long-term objectives shaped by domestic politic…

  • Policy Analysis

    Syria’s Kurds Facing Dangerous Headwinds

    Dec 18, 2024

    The rapid collapse of the Assad regime by Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) fighters has put Syrian Kurds of the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) and their autonomous …

  • Viewpoint

    Deciphering the Quick Collapse of the Assad Regime

    Dec 17, 2024

    Many western media outlets have speculated about the quick collapse of the Syrian regime and its military and security services in their battle against a coali…

  • Viewpoint

    Will Assad’s Fall Give Iran’s Reformists a New Lease on Life?

    Dec 11, 2024

    For Iran, the fall of Syria’s Bashar al-Assad and what was left of his regime—together with Moscow’s decision to throw its leading Middle East ally to the wind…

  • Viewpoint

    A New Syria is Born: Hopes and Challenges

    Dec 11, 2024

    December 8, 2024, marked a historic turning point in Syria and the Middle East region—a day when the Syrian people achieved what had seemed unattainable: the t…

  • Policy Analysis

    Implications of Assad’s Fall for Syria and the Region

    Dec 10, 2024

    The fall of Damascus marked the end of the regime of Bashar al-Assad, who inherited the presidency from his father Hafez al-Assad in 2000.

  • Policy Analysis

    Trump’s Election and Future of Turkish-American Relations

    Dec 4, 2024

    Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan expressed clear satisfaction with the election of Donald Trump as president of the United States, quickly congratulating…

  • Policy Analysis
    IraqViolent Extremism

    The Islamic State Is Trying to Rebound

    Taking advantage of the world’s attention to the Israel-Hamas and Israel-Hezbollah conflicts, the so-called Islamic State (IS) is trying to reconstitute itself…

  • Policy Analysis
    TurkeyRegional Relations and Geopolitics

    Erdoğan’s Renewed Push for Syria Reconciliation: Domestic Pressures and Regional Dynamics

    Jul 25, 2024Salim Çevik

    Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan made his most explicit appeal yet to Syrian President Bashar al-Assad. Setting a high bar for the future of relations, E…

  • Policy Analysis
    LebanonMigrants, Refugees, and IDPs

    Lebanon Needs Help in Dealing with Its Syrian Refugees

    Jul 10, 2024Imad K. Harb

    The dangerous saber-rattling and bloody confrontations between Hezbollah and Israel have partly obscured serious domestic challenges facing Lebanon and the car…

  • Intern Corner

    Captagon: Assad’s Ticket to Normalization in the Arab World?

    May 22, 2024

    On May 19, 2023, Bashar al-Assad made headlines by attending the Arab League summit in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia for the first time since the start of the Syria Civ…

  • Policy Analysis

    US Troops to Stay in Syria and Iraq but Perhaps Not for Long

    Feb 22, 2024

    In recent weeks, there have been meetings in Washington and in Baghdad about the presence in Iraq and Syria of US troops, whose official mandate is to aid loca…

  • Policy Analysis

    Does Syria Have a Role in the Israel-Hamas Conflict?

    Nov 6, 2023

    As the war between Israel and Hamas rages, the Middle East is bracing for a wider, multi-front regional conflict that will have serious repercussions for the g…

  • Policy Analysis

    Syrian Kurds in an Increasingly Precarious Position

    Oct 18, 2023

    Syrian Kurds associated with the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) are increasingly seeing their autonomous entity in northeastern Syria threatened by internal an…

  • Policy Analysis
    LebanonMigrants, Refugees, and IDPs

    The Plight and Politics of Syrian Refugees in Lebanon

    Aug 8, 2023Patricia Karam

    When Syria’s regime was readmitted into the Arab League and its president, Bashar al Assad, rehabilitated after years of ostracism for his brutal crackdown on …

  • Policy Analysis
    North AfricaSecurity and Defense

    The Fate of the Wagner Group in Syria, Libya, and Sudan

    The failed mutiny by Yevgeny Prigozhin has put the fate of his Wagner Group doubt, not only in Ukraine but in several Arab states as well.

  • Policy Analysis

    The Jeddah Arab League Summit: MBS’s Final Crowning

    May 31, 2023

    The 32nd Arab League Summit was little more than the final crowning of Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince as the leader of the current Arab political order.

  • Policy Analysis
    LevantClimate and Environment

    Water Politics in the Tigris-Euphrates Basin

    May 30, 2023Achref Chibani

    While energy security and the control of oil have long been determining factors for geopolitical conflict in the Middle East, the region’s geopolitics have als…

  • Policy Analysis

    What Does Normalization with Assad Mean for Accountability and a Political Resolution?

    Apr 18, 2023

    Against the backdrop of Syria’s impending return to the Arab fold, French judges this month ordered three high-ranking Syrian intelligence officers to stand tr…

  • Policy Analysis

    Obstacles to a Turkey-Syria Reconciliation

    Mar 29, 2023

    Syrian President Bashar al-Assad paid an important visit to Moscow in mid-March 2023. One of the main agenda items was the Turkish-Syrian reconciliation that R…

  • Policy Analysis
    SyriaRegional Relations and Geopolitics

    Arab States Are Normalizing with Syria’s Assad Regime

    Taking advantage of the devastating earthquake that ravaged parts of northwestern Syria in February, Syrian President Bashar al-Assad has tried to use the trag…

  • Policy Analysis
    The Arab WorldUS Foreign Policy

    US Middle East Policy: The Trump-Biden Doctrine in Action

    Mar 22, 2023Charles W. Dunne

    All US presidents, it seems, need their own foreign policy “doctrine.” President James Monroe famously started the trend in 1823, and many others—Truman, Eisen…

  • Policy Analysis

    Lebanon and Syria and the Saudi-Iran Detente

    Mar 21, 2023

    The recent China-brokered agreement between Saudi Arabia and the Islamic Republic of Iran is expected to have a de-escalating effect on many issues in the Midd…

  • Policy Analysis

    Politics, Displacement, and the Human Toll of the Recent Earthquake in Syria

    Mar 15, 2023

    On February 6, 2023, the earth shifted at the fault line that runs along the Turkey-Syria border, resulting in a 7.8 magnitude earthquake, which was followed j…

  • Policy Analysis

    Syrian Kurds Are Hoping for, but Not Banking On, Continued US Partnership

    Feb 24, 2023

    The massive earthquake that struck southern Turkey and northwestern Syria has given the Syrian Kurds a reprieve from a possible Turkish military invasion of ar…

  • Policy Analysis

    Turkey’s Presidential Election in the Shadow of Devastating Earthquakes

    Feb 22, 2023

    The devastating February 6 earthquakes in Turkey, which caused nearly 45,000 deaths in Turkey and Syria and rendered hundreds of thousands of people homeless, …

  • Viewpoint
    SyriaJustice, Equality, and Human Rights

    Aid to Syrian and Turkish Earthquake Victims Must Arrive Unobstructed

    Feb 10, 2023Imad K. Harb David Kanbergs

    Many cities and neighborhoods in Turkey and Syria have either been destroyed or damaged to the point of making them uninhabitable. Rescue efforts in both count…

  • Policy Analysis

    Erdoğan’s Rapprochement with Assad Spells Trouble for Syrian Refugees

    Feb 1, 2023

    Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s interest in a rapprochement with Syrian President Bashar al-Assad is the latest chapter in his delicate domestic and r…

  • Policy Analysis
    SyriaGlobal Health and Health Policy

    The Captagon Problem in Saudi Arabia and Other Gulf States

    Over the past decade, the amphetamine fenethylline, widely known by the brand name Captagon, has increasingly become the drug of choice among the youth in Gulf…

  • Policy Analysis

    Biden’s Syria Policy: Steady Non-commitment and Persistent Failure

    Sep 20, 2022

    The Biden administration’s Syria policy, as well as its policy for the Middle East in general, stems from priorities and practices set in place during the eigh…

  • Intern Corner

    Syria Is Not Ready to Repatriate Displaced Syrians

    Sep 20, 2022

    By 2015, over four million Syrians had fled the country’s civil war and arrived in neighboring countries, in Europe, and beyond. Today, the number of displaced…

  • Policy Analysis

    Syrian Refugees in Turkey Face an Uncertain Future

    Jul 12, 2022

    In the early hours of July 1, 2022, Turkish sources reported on a story of undocumented immigrants fleeing the Osmaniye Refugee Camp in southern Turkey. That s…

  • Policy Analysis
    SyriaThe War in Ukraine

    The Ukraine Crisis Further Complicates Foreign Intervention in Syria

    Despite early assessments that Russia would begin drawing down its military forces in Syria due to its need for more troops in the Ukraine invasion, it appears…

  • Policy Analysis

    Israel-Iran Shadow War in Syria intensifies Amid International Developments

    Mar 23, 2022

    The ongoing military conflict between Israel and Iran (along with Iran-backed Shia forces like Hezbollah) in Syria show no signs of easing despite the Russia-U…

  • Policy Analysis
    LevantViolent Extremism

    Is the Islamic State Rebounding in Syria and Iraq?

    The nearly two-week siege in January of the Ghuwayran prison and parts of the town of Hasaka by fighters of the so-called Islamic State (IS) in northeastern Sy…

  • Policy Analysis

    Rehabilitation of the Assad Regime

    Dec 15, 2021

    With the approaching date of the next Arab Summit to be hosted by Algeria in March 2022, some member countries of the League of Arab States have become more vo…

  • Policy Analysis

    Russia’s Multifaceted Policy in Syria

    Nov 23, 2021

    More than six years after Russia began its military intervention in the Syrian civil war, President Vladimir Putin has chalked up some important victories amid…

  • Viewpoint

    The Failure of Syria’s Constitutional Committee

    Nov 16, 2021

    In October 2019, Secretary General of the United Nations António Guterres enthusiastically welcomed the creation of Syria’s Constitutional Committee that would…

  • Viewpoint

    Syria’s Return to the Arab League Is Imminent

    Oct 5, 2021

    A decade after the start of the Syrian revolution against authoritarian rule and the suspension of Syria’s membership in the League of Arab States, the country…

  • Policy Analysis

    Southwestern Syria Tests US-Russia Cooperation

    Sep 22, 2021

    The US-Russian agreement of July 2017 that led to a fragile stability in southwestern Syria has recently unraveled, testing President Joe Biden’s approach in S…

  • Viewpoint

    Rearranging American Priorities in Syria

    Jul 27, 2021

    On July 17, Syrian President Bashar al-Assad took his oath of office in front of parliament after winning the presidential election with 95 percent of the popu…

  • Policy Analysis

    Syria’s Presidential Election and the Absence of the American Role

    Jun 1, 2021

    On May 26, Syrian President Bashar al-Assad won a fourth seven-year term in a practically uncontested election. No one was surprised by the original announceme…

  • Policy Analysis

    The Biden Administration and the GCC Rapprochement with Damascus

    May 27, 2021

    With Syrian President Bashar al-Assad on his way to a fourth term in the Syrian presidential election held this week, Moscow is expected to resume its diplomat…

  • Policy Analysis

    A Decade of War in Syria: Political Transition Is Still the Answer

    Feb 22, 2021

    The middle of March marks the tenth anniversary of the civil war in Syria. It began in the south of the country when regime forces resorted to violence to quel…

  • Policy Analysis

    Kurdish Dilemmas in Syria

    Jan 13, 2021

    The Syrian Kurds, who constitute about 10 percent of Syria’s population, are at a crossroads, trying to preserve their shrunken statelet in the northeastern pa…

  • Intern Corner
    IraqClimate and Environment

    Mitigating Conflict over Water in the Euphrates-Tigris Basin

    Dec 15, 2020Yoseph Hamid

    The Middle East and North Africa (MENA)—the most water-scarce region in the world—has arguably borne the brunt of climate change in the planet. Nowhere is this…

  • Policy Analysis

    Biden Has a New Opportunity in Syria

    Dec 7, 2020

    The exceptional nature of the 2020 American presidential election, held in the shadow of the coronavirus pandemic that has so far killed over a quarter million…

  • Policy Analysis

    Russian-Turkish-Iranian Cross-Purposes on Syria’s Future

    Sep 8, 2020

    On August 24, the United Nations-sponsored Syrian Constitutional Committee meetings reconvened in Geneva. UN Envoy Geir Peterson, the chair of the meeting, dec…

  • Policy Analysis

    Spinning the Wheels: Syria’s Useless Political Negotiations

    Sep 2, 2020

    Radwan Ziadeh contends that the many rounds of negotiations to resolve the Syrian crisis have failed because of the imbalance of power between the Syrian regim…

  • Policy Analysis

    Loss of a Generation: The Education of Syria’s Refugee Children

    Aug 25, 2020

    Yara M. Asi reports that almost ten years of homelessness, poverty, and trauma have deprived millions of Syria’s children and youth—displaced inside the countr…

  • Policy Analysis

    US-Russian Competition and the M4 Highway in Syria

    Jun 23, 2020

    Joe Macaron argues that in Syria, implementing the Caesar Act sanctions and opening the east-west M4 Highway reflect intensified US-Russian competition while t…

  • Policy Analysis

    A Fracture That Will Not Threaten the Assad Regime in Syria

    May 18, 2020

    Radwan Ziadeh discounts the long-term political repercussions of the Assad-Makhlouf dispute and writes that if the regime gets in serious trouble, the cousins …

  • Policy Analysis

    The US and Iraq Must Shore Up the Fight against the Islamic State

    May 8, 2020

    Charles W. Dunne argues that the fight against the Islamic State in Iraq faces numerous setbacks, including the coronavirus, and that the upcoming US-Iraq Stra…

  • Policy Analysis

    Syria’s Authoritarian Regime and COVID-19

    Apr 24, 2020

    Syria's delayed admission of COVID-19 cases was dictated by the regime's political calculations and its hope to use the cover of the pandemic to avoid sanction…

  • Policy Analysis

    Russian-Turkish Tensions in Syria May Help Mend the US-Turkish Divide

    Mar 20, 2020

    Daniel Brumberg studies the intricacies of Turkey's involvement in Syria and accommodation with Russia as it simultaneously hopes to enlist the assistance of t…

  • Policy Analysis

    The Muted Arab Attempt to Restore Influence in Syria

    Mar 18, 2020

    Will Arab countries be able to renew their influence in Syria given the ever-present inter-Arab rivalry and unfavorable geopolitical factors?

  • Policy Analysis

    Complications for Turkey in Idlib

    Mar 17, 2020

    Ankara’s options in Idlib are extremely limited as it must enforce moderation on the part of the extremists as well as address the refugee crisis.

  • Policy Analysis

    The Moscow Summit: Will the Ceasefire Hold in Idlib?

    Mar 11, 2020

    The failure of previous arrangements regarding Syria suggests that the latest ceasefire agreement between Turkey and Russia may only be temporary. Read this an…

  • Policy Analysis

    Trump, Congress Lay Out Election Year Foreign Policy Priorities

    Mar 11, 2020

    Marcus Montgomery discusses how the Trump Administration is pressing forward with its campaign against Iran as many in Congress are trying to constrain the pre…

  • Policy Analysis

    Russia Has Limits on Its Influence in the Middle East

    Mar 10, 2020

    Charles W. Dunne argues that despite Russia’s success in Syria and stealthy gains in the Middle East since 2015, the limits on its capabilities have become inc…

  • Policy Analysis
    SyriaConflicts and Conflict Resolution

    The Idlib Developments Usher in a New Phase in Syria’s War

    Mar 6, 2020Radwan Ziadeh Imad K. Harb Marwan Kabalan Mustafa Gurbuz

    The Syrian civil war entered a new phase when Bashar al-Assad’s regime began an assault on the northwestern Idlib province, eliciting a Turkish response. ACW a…

  • Policy Analysis

    Lebanon’s Imminent Collapse: How Can It Be Prevented?

    Mar 3, 2020

    The dissolution of confessional politics in Lebanon and the political coalescence of the street opposition to negotiate for social change are key to addressing…

  • Policy Analysis

    The Struggle over Syria’s Idlib

    Feb 28, 2020

    The Syrian regime’s killing of scores of Turkish soldiers in Idlib province will aggravate Turkish-Russian relations and take the crisis in Syria in a complete…

  • From our Affiliates
    SyriaConflicts and Conflict Resolution

    Three scenarios for the battle for Idlib

    Feb 19, 2020Marwan Kabalan

    Major decisions have to be made by Turkey, Russia, and the United States in the coming weeks that may determine the next phase of the Syrian conflict.

  • Viewpoint

    The Collapse of the Syrian Pound May Doom the Syrian Economy

    Jan 23, 2020

    Syria’s most difficult battle now is how to support its national currency and fix its collapsing economy with an impoverished central bank and the absence of r…

  • Policy Analysis

    Syria’s Problems Worsen While UN Efforts Fail

    Dec 4, 2019

    Syria’s deteriorating economic conditions and the failure of UN-sponsored discussions about a constitutional document indicate that the Syrian people will cont…

  • Policy Analysis
    SyriaRegional Relations and Geopolitics

    Russia’s Gains in Syria Could Be a Blessing in Disguise

    Nov 6, 2019Joe Macaron

    Joe Macaron argues that while Russia may fill the vacuum left by the withdrawal of American troops from the Turkish-Syrian border, it could have challenges dea…