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- Policy AnalysisThe Arab WorldUS Domestic Politics and Elections
Middle East Leaders Prefer Trump’s Victory
Jul 24, 2024Gregory AftandilianDonald J. Trump’s candidacy seems to draw more interest and support from the Middle East than from other areas of the world, particularly from among the ruling…
- Policy Analysis
Difficulties Facing a US-Saudi Security Agreement
Jun 25, 2024The search for a US-brokered Saudi-Israeli deal to normalize relations has assumed outsized significance in the administration’s approach to the Middle East.
- From our AffiliatesSaudi ArabiaConflicts and Conflict Resolution
Determinants of Saudi Arabia’s Response to the Gaza War
May 22, 2024Arab Center for Research and Policy StudiesFollowing Hamas’s “Operation Al-Aqsa Flood” on October 7, Saudi Arabia publicly criticized Israel’s actions in Gaza and blamed it for escalating tensions, desp…
- Policy Analysis
The Gaza Crisis Pushes Washington and Riyadh Closer
May 15, 2024Hamas’s May 6 acceptance of a hostage deal proposed by Egypt and Qatar was surely designed to induce the White House to pressure Israel to produce a counteroff…
- Policy AnalysisSaudi ArabiaRegional Relations and Geopolitics
Saudi Arabia May Be Taking Center Stage in Post-Gaza Peace
Feb 28, 2024Kristian Coates UlrichsenWith Israel’s war on Gaza in its fifth month amid ongoing international pressure for a ceasefire, Saudi Arabia has become the focus of much attention over what…
- Policy Analysis
Turkish-Gulf Relations in the Context of Regional Reconciliation
Feb 14, 2024Since 2021, Turkey has been resetting its policies in the Middle East and has started to reconcile with its rivals in the previous decade—Egypt, Israel, Saudi …
- Policy AnalysisLevantConflicts and Conflict Resolution
Will Saudi Arabia Renew the “Arab Peace Initiative” as the Middle East Seethes?
Oct 23, 2023Daniel BrumbergWhether Hamas’s October 7 assault has ended whatever prospects existed for forging diplomatic relations between Israel and Saudi Arabia remains to be seen. The…
- Policy Analysis
Saudi-Israeli Normalization and the Hamas Attack
Oct 11, 2023When Saudi Arabian Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (MBS) sat down on September 20 with Brett Baier of Fox News for his first English-language television inter…
- Policy AnalysisThe Arabian Peninsula and The GulfEnergy and Economics
The Geopolitics of the India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor
Oct 10, 2023Giorgio CafieroAt the G20 summit held in New Delhi in September 2023, the leaders of France, Germany, India, Italy, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, the United States,…
- Policy Analysis
The Saudi-Israeli Normalization Gambit: Deal or No Deal?
Aug 30, 2023After weeks of conflicting accounts from columnists and journalists about the outcome of the Biden administration’s intensive shuttle diplomacy aimed at convin…
- Policy Analysis
The Russia-Ukraine Jeddah Meeting: A Win for MBS in a Changing Global Order
Aug 24, 2023Over the first weekend of August 2023, Saudi Arabia convened an international summit on the war in Ukraine. Held in Jeddah and attended by representatives from…
- Policy Analysis
The US Position on Saudi Arabia’s Civilian Nuclear Program
Aug 16, 2023In June 2023, Saudi Minister of Foreign Affairs Faisal bin Farhan Al Saud affirmed the kingdom’s intent to enrich uranium, part of its desire to develop a civi…
- Policy Analysis
US Negotiations for a Tripartite Agreement with Saudi Arabia and Israel: Context and Calculations
Aug 14, 2023Saudi Arabia and the United States are conducting complex negotiations in order to achieve a tripartite agreement that would include normalization between the …
- Policy Analysis
The UAE-Saudi Arabia Rivalry Becomes a Rift
Jul 6, 2023Saudi Arabia and the UAE are waging a quiet struggle to determine who will emerge as the Arabian Gulf’s—and maybe the Arab world’s—preeminent power.
- Policy Analysis
Saudi-US Relations in a Changing Global and Regional Landscape
Jun 29, 2023Kristian Coates Ulrichsen discusses the current state of Saudi-US relations as Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman seeks to chart a new course in domestic and for…
- Policy Analysis
Despite US Efforts, Iran is Ascendant
Jun 21, 2023Iran today is not nearly as isolated as Washington had hoped and it has scored some impressive successes in advancing its regional agenda.
- Policy AnalysisSaudi ArabiaRegional Relations and Geopolitics
The Jeddah Arab League Summit: MBS’s Final Crowning
May 31, 2023Imad K. HarbThe 32nd Arab League Summit was little more than the final crowning of Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince as the leader of the current Arab political order.
- Policy AnalysisEgyptConflicts and Conflict Resolution
The Sudan Crisis: How Regional Actors’ Competing Interests Fuel the Conflict
May 11, 2023Khalil Al-AnaniThe outbreak of military clashes between the Sudanese Army and the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF), which have resulted in the deaths of hundreds and t…
- Policy Analysis
Saudi Oil Production Cuts: A Self-Interested Move
May 10, 2023Saudi Arabia’s announcement last month of surprise oil production cuts reverberated around the world. The cuts consisted of a voluntary reduction of 500,000 ba…
- Policy AnalysisThe Arab WorldGlobal Health and Health Policy
Challenges Facing the Arab World’s Health Care Professionals
Apr 26, 2023Yara M. AsiIn 2022, the Egyptian Medical Syndicate released a shocking report, finding that over 10,000 Egyptian doctors resigned from positions in government hospitals d…
- Policy Analysis
Geopolitics of Small Islands: The Stalemate of Tiran and Sanafir’s Transfer Impacts Egypt-Saudi Relations
Mar 29, 2023In June 2017, Egyptian President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi consented to ceding sovereignty over the islands of Tiran and Sanafir to Saudi Arabia. However, nearly si…
- Policy Analysis
The GCC Is On Board with the Saudi-Iran Agreement
Mar 27, 2023The signing of a joint trilateral statement by senior national security officials from Saudi Arabia and Iran in the presence of Chinese officials in Beijing on…
- Policy Analysis
US Middle East Policy: The Trump-Biden Doctrine in Action
Mar 22, 2023All US presidents, it seems, need their own foreign policy “doctrine.” President James Monroe famously started the trend in 1823, and many others—Truman, Eisen…
- Policy Analysis
Yemen and the Saudi-Iran Rapprochement
Mar 22, 2023In the closing scene of the 1942 film Casablanca, Humphrey Bogart, walking off into the fog with his occasional nemesis as they plan their next move together, …
- Policy Analysis
Lebanon and Syria and the Saudi-Iran Detente
Mar 21, 2023The recent China-brokered agreement between Saudi Arabia and the Islamic Republic of Iran is expected to have a de-escalating effect on many issues in the Midd…
- Policy Analysis
China as Middle East Matchmaker
Mar 16, 2023While the central role that China recently played in renewing diplomatic relations between Iran and Saudi Arabia underscores the United States’ declining influ…
- Policy Analysis
Arab and Israeli Positions on Ukraine War Continue to Frustrate the US
Jan 18, 2023The positions taken by many governments in the Middle East have proven a notable exception to the global groundswell of support for Kyiv.
- Viewpoint
Saudi Arabia Will Not Find Strategic Protection in China
Dec 13, 2022Saudi Arabia has just spent three days hosting Chinese President Xi Jinping in a summit that some believe could be fateful for the kingdom’s future strategic a…
- Policy Analysis
What Lies Ahead for Saudi Arabia in the 118th US Congress
Dec 7, 2022New challenges abound for President Joe Biden in 2023. The loss of a Democratic majority in the House of Representatives for the 118th Congress promises to lea…
- Viewpoint
With Friends Like These: OPEC’s Oil Production and US-Gulf Relations
Oct 7, 2022In a move that will certainly have serious political and economic repercussions in the United States and around the world, OPEC+, a group of oil-producing nati…
- Policy Analysis
The Captagon Problem in Saudi Arabia and Other Gulf States
Sep 22, 2022Over the past decade, the amphetamine fenethylline, widely known by the brand name Captagon, has increasingly become the drug of choice among the youth in Gulf…
- Policy Analysis
Yemen’s Prospects for Unity Are Uncertain after Many Years of War
Jul 28, 2022In 2018, the United Nations Security Council’s Panel of Experts on Yemen suggested that the Yemeni State had begun to fragment as a result of a conflict that i…
- Policy Analysis
Mohammed bin Salman’s Political Precarity Persists, Despite Perceived Successes
Jul 26, 2022The paths of US President Joe Biden and Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (MBS) crossed briefly on July 15 and 16 when Biden stopped in Jeddah, Saudi Arab…
- Policy Analysis
Biden’s Trip to the Middle East Failed to Serve US Interests
Jul 22, 2022With President Joe Biden concluding his Middle East visit, many in the United States are left wondering what tangible benefits the American people gained as a …
- Policy AnalysisThe Arabian Peninsula and The GulfUS Foreign Policy
Reflections on President Biden’s Predictably Disappointing Middle East Trip
US President Joe Biden visited Israel, Palestine, and Saudi Arabia from July 13 to 16 to meet with various regional leaders. This was Biden’s first visit as pr…
- Policy Analysis
The Biden Administration Is Struggling to Develop a Middle East Strategy
Jun 10, 2022Despite the declining capacity of the United States to shape the Middle East’s strategic architecture, it is unlikely that effective regional solutions to secu…
- Policy Analysis
Turkish Reasons for a Rapprochement with Saudi Arabia
Jun 2, 2022Turkey’s President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan did not hide his main demand when he buried the case of Jamal Khashoggi, the Washington Post columnist who was killed o…
- Policy Analysis
Saudi Reasons for a Rapprochement with Turkey
May 31, 2022Reports that Saudi Arabian Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman may be planning to visit Turkey as part of an international trip in June, one of his first outside …
- Policy Analysis
Yemen’s Presidential Leadership Council Offers Hope Amid Uncertainty
May 24, 2022The surprise resignation of Yemeni President Abdrabbu Mansour Hadi in early April and his immediate replacement by an eight-member Presidential Leadership Coun…
- Policy Analysis
Gulf Countries’ Aid to Egypt: It Is Politics, Not the Economy, Stupid!
May 5, 2022On April 4, 2022, Gulf Arab countries pledged $22 billion to help Egypt avert a currency crisis resulting from the Russian war on Ukraine. The Egyptian pound l…
- Policy Analysis
The Evolving Relationship Between Religion and Politics in Saudi Arabia
Apr 20, 2022Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman’s (MbS) rise to power has resulted in what are arguably some of the most significant political transformations …
- Policy Analysis
After Parting Ways: The Coming Frosty Entente in Saudi-Turkish Relations
Feb 2, 2022This is likely to be Turkey’s year of normalization with regional counterparts, as 2021 was one of diplomatic restoration for Turkish foreign policy. While in …
- Policy Analysis
Mohammed bin Salman’s Regional Rebranding Campaign
Dec 16, 2021Saudi Arabian Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (MbS) toured the five smaller Gulf states between December 6, when he visited Oman, and December 10, when he arr…
- Policy Analysis
Sudan Coup: The Regional Interference behind a Faltering Transition
Dec 11, 2021On October 25, 2021, Sudan’s General Abdel-Fattah al-Burhan staged a coup, declared a state of emergency, dissolved the power-sharing Sovereign Council, sacked…
- Policy Analysis
Turkey and the Gulf States: A New Era of Détente
Dec 8, 2021Turkish officials celebrated the November 24 visit of Abu Dhabi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan to Ankara as the beginning of “a new era” between Tur…
- Policy Analysis
Saudi Arabia’s Third “Shock and Awe” Move in Lebanon
Nov 9, 2021On October 29th, Riyadh cut diplomatic ties with Beirut and suspended Lebanon’s imports into Saudi Arabia. These actions were aimed to force the resignation of…
- Policy Analysis
The Limits of Saudi-Iranian Détente
Oct 29, 2021During his years in the Nixon White House in the 1970s, former Secretary of State Henry Kissinger sought to manage the US-Soviet rivalry by creating arenas of …
- Policy Analysis
Biden’s Yemen Conundrum
Oct 5, 2021US National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan traveled to Riyadh on September 27 and was accompanied by US Special Envoy for Yemen Tim Lenderking. The visit highl…
- Policy AnalysisThe Arabian Peninsula and The GulfRegional Relations and Geopolitics
A New Strategic Architecture Is Emerging in the Gulf
Sep 24, 2021Imad K. HarbAs the Gulf crisis of 2017 recedes into memory, following the reconciliation in January at the “solidarity and stability” summit in Saudi Arabia’s al-Ula on th…
- Policy Analysis
A Saudi-Iranian Rapprochement Still Has a Long Way to Go
Sep 21, 2021Talks in Baghdad between officials of Saudi Arabia and Iran, which have been held periodically since April, have fueled speculation that these two regional pow…
- Viewpoint
Is a Saudi-Emirati Rift on the Horizon?
Jul 7, 2021The Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) appears to be approaching another unwelcome rift, this time between its two most vocal and influential members, Saudi Arabia…
- Policy Analysis
A Tough Nut to Crack: Rebalancing the US-Saudi Relationship
Jun 2, 2021Out on the campaign trail in 2019, presidential candidate Joe Biden made it clear that when it came to a principled US foreign policy, he intended to be the an…
- Policy Analysis
Contingencies Undergird Saudi Foreign Policy
May 18, 2021A flurry of diplomatic outreach involving Iran, Syria, and Turkey, and a continuing warming of relations with other Gulf countries, have sparked questions over…
- Policy Analysis
Arab Space Programs Level Up
Apr 30, 2021People in the Arab world have gazed at the stars with curiosity and genius for centuries. The first observatory was built in the 8th century by Abbasid Caliph …
- Policy Analysis
Repercussions of the ODNI Khashoggi Report: An Assessment
Mar 3, 2021On February 26, the Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI) released its report on the assassination of US resident and Washington Post columnis…
- Viewpoint
Mohammed bin Salman in the Hot Seat
Feb 26, 2021The Biden Administration’s release on February 26 of a declassified intelligence report implicating Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (MbS) in the assassi…
- Policy Analysis
Egyptian-Saudi Relations: Strategic Ties with Some Political Strains
Feb 9, 2021Egypt and Saudi Arabia continue to be strategic partners in the Middle East, buoyed by shared interests and certain threat perceptions. Saudi Arabia values Egy…
- Policy Analysis
Saudi Arabia Ends the GCC Crisis
Jan 7, 2021It finally happened: the GCC crisis is seemingly over. The 41st summit meeting of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) succeeded in surmounting the three-and-a-h…
- Viewpoint
MbS Also Gets Nothing for Normalizing with Israel
Nov 23, 2020Once again, Arab solidarity with the Palestinian cause suffered a setback. Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (MbS) reportedly met with Israeli Pr…
- Policy Analysis
Saudi Arabia Prefers Implicit Normalization with Israel
Sep 18, 2020Signed at the White House on September 15, the new peace agreements between Israel on the one side and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) and Bahrain on the other …
- Policy Analysis
Riyadh Agreement 2.0 Changes Nothing in Yemen
Aug 19, 2020Nabeel Khoury contends that the lack of trust between Yemen’s Hadi government and southern secessionists is likely to at least delay the implementation of the …
- Policy Analysis
Can Saudi Arabia and the UAE Develop National Arms Industries?
Jul 22, 2020With a speed rarely seen in history, the Gulf Arab states have evolved from mere afterthoughts of colonialism to advanced countries. Located in a strategic reg…
- Policy Analysis
US Middle East Policy in Free Fall
May 28, 2020Gulf Arab states have little choice but to rely for their security needs on the Trump Administration despite its feckless policy in the Middle East and poor ca…
- Policy Analysis
MbS’s New “Vision 2020”: Reform and Repression
May 5, 2020Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (MbS) will most likely weather the political, economic, and health storms generated by COVID-19. Prompted by th…
- Viewpoint
A Unified Yemen May Soon Cease to Exist
Apr 27, 2020With President Hadi too weak to respond to the self-rule declaration by the UAE- supported Southern Transitional Council, and Saudi Arabia too economically tro…
- Policy Analysis
Did the Saudi-Led Oil Deal Diminish Republicans’ 2020 Electoral Chances?
Apr 15, 2020Because the health of the US economy is critical for Donald Trump's reelection hopes, Marcus Montgomery asks if the recent Saudi-led OPEC+ cuts will contribute…
- Policy Analysis
The Fourth Saudi State Remains a Distant Vision
Apr 3, 2020Imad K. Harb argues that Mohammed bin Salman’s chaotic and authoritarian stewardship of Saudi domestic and international affairs may well impede the establishm…
- Viewpoint
The Khashoggi Verdict: Whitewashing a Murder
Dec 26, 2019Saudi Arabia's reputation remains on the line despite the whitewashing and the convoluted twists of Khashoggi’s killing. For now, at least, in Jamal’s case “ju…
- Policy Analysis
GCC Reconciliation Is Coming, but Pesky Issues Remain
Dec 8, 2019A limited reconciliation between parties to the GCC crisis is likely to take place during the upcoming summit in Riyadh. However, certain thorny and serious po…
- Policy Analysis
Is a resolution of the GCC crisis imminent?
Nov 18, 2019Ibrahim Fraihat argues that the September 14 attack on Aramco has had a significant effect on Riyadh and has forced Saudi Arabia to revise its policies toward …
- Policy Analysis
The Riyadh Agreement on Yemen: Arrangements and Chances of Success
Nov 18, 2019The Riyadh Agreement’s success will depend in large part on the local parties’ conviction that it serves their purposes at this time more than continued war do…
- Policy Analysis
Learning to Say “No” To Saudi Arabia on Iran and Yemen
Sep 25, 2019Daniel Brumberg writes that against the background of the White House’s escalating conflict with Tehran, Washington seems unwilling or unable to break its habi…
- Policy AnalysisIranConflicts and Conflict Resolution
The Attacks on Saudi Oil Installations are a Game Changer
Sep 17, 2019Khalil E. Jahshan Kristian Coates Ulrichsen Abdulwahab Al-Qassab Joe Macaron Imad K. HarbThe latest attacks on Saudi Arabia’s oil installations are a game changer in Saudi domestic politics and in regional and international affairs.
- Policy Analysis
A Crumbling Saudi-Emirati Alliance in Yemen May Change US Gulf Policy
Sep 4, 2019The UAE's backing of Yemen’s southern separatists has angered Saudi Arabia and helped lead to a reevaluation of American policy toward the conflict. More volat…
- Policy Analysis
In Saudi Arabia, Covering the Khashoggi Murder Is a State Affair
Aug 13, 2019Over the last decade, stories about the potential for freedom of the press in the Arab world have alternated between hopeful and hopeless. The 2011 Arab uprisi…
- Policy Analysis
Saudi Arabia May Be on Its Own in Yemen
Jul 15, 2019The UAE’s withdrawal from Yemen highlights the serious problems facing the war effort there. This situation puts Saudi Arabia in a difficult position and force…
- Policy Analysis
Saudi-Emirati-Egyptian Alliance Steering US Middle East Policy
Jun 26, 2019With the American retreat from the Middle East, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Egypt are presenting themselves as reliable allies. However, they are pursuing an ag…