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- Policy AnalysisThe Arabian Peninsula and The GulfEnergy and Economics
Trump Is Back: What Does It Mean for Oil and US-Gulf Relations?
Nov 27, 2024Jim KranePresident-elect Donald Trump has made clear his fondness for fossil fuels, a fondness that was reciprocated by many in the industry. Expectations are high. But…
- Policy AnalysisThe Arabian Peninsula and The GulfEnergy and Economics
Exploring the Options: Arab Oil Exporters and the US Dollar
Jun 21, 2024Jim KraneThe pricing of oil in US dollars is one of the perks the United States enjoys due to its status as the world’s largest economy and to the dollar’s role as the …
- External ReadingsPalestine/IsraelEnergy and Economics
Israel’s Central Bank Governor Tries to Assure International Markets
Nov 21, 2023Barhoum JaraisiLast October, at a conference of the International Monetary Fund in the United States, the Governor of the Central Bank of Israel Amir Yaron sought to reassure…
- Policy AnalysisThe Arabian Peninsula and The GulfEnergy and Economics
The Geopolitics of the India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor
Oct 10, 2023Giorgio CafieroAt the G20 summit held in New Delhi in September 2023, the leaders of France, Germany, India, Italy, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, the United States,…
- Policy Analysis
Turkey’s Ambitions in Iraq Play Out in Kirkuk
Oct 3, 2023In late August, Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia’ al-Sudani stirred the pot of existing tensions when he ordered the evacuation of the Iraqi military’s Joint…
- Policy Analysis
Yemen’s War Economy: A Key Factor in the Ongoing Conflict
Sep 20, 2023As Houthi negotiators leave Saudi Arabia after five days of talks with Saudi officials regarding the contours of a compromise solution to Yemen’s ongoing confl…
- Policy Analysis
Egypt Is in Serious Trouble Seven Decades after Its Free Officers Revolution
Jul 25, 2023Seventy-one years after its July 23, 1952 Revolution, organized by the Free Officers Movement, Egypt’s difficult economic conditions threaten to unravel the ve…
- Policy Analysis
The UAE-Saudi Arabia Rivalry Becomes a Rift
Jul 6, 2023Saudi Arabia and the UAE are waging a quiet struggle to determine who will emerge as the Arabian Gulf’s—and maybe the Arab world’s—preeminent power.
- Policy Analysis
The Erdoğan Doctrine in the Wake of Turkey’s Elections
Jun 22, 2023When Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan announced his new cabinet following his victory in the May 2023 presidential election, a positive mood ensued. Turk…
- Policy AnalysisIraqUS Foreign Policy
Shock and Awe: Life in Iraq Twenty Years after the US-led Invasion
Jun 16, 2023Yara M. AsiThis year marks a significant milestone in the American-led “Global War on Terror,” especially in relation to Iraq. It has been 20 years since former Secretary…
- Policy Analysis
Saudi Oil Production Cuts: A Self-Interested Move
May 10, 2023Saudi Arabia’s announcement last month of surprise oil production cuts reverberated around the world. The cuts consisted of a voluntary reduction of 500,000 ba…
- Policy AnalysisTunisiaDemocracy and Governance
Kais Saied’s Fantasies Are Drowning Tunisia
Apr 27, 2023Daniel BrumbergThe April 18 arrest of Rached Ghannouchi represents a dramatic escalation of Tunisian President Kais Saied’s assault on the political opposition. The leader of…
- Policy Analysis
Iran: A Resource-Rich Country Reeling from Rampant Poverty
Apr 3, 2023Even for a state as heavily militarized and intractable as the Islamic Republic of Iran, the breadth and depth of the economic maladies it is facing are crushi…
- Policy AnalysisNorth AfricaClimate and Environment
Green Power Politics in North African Countries: Continuity or Change?
Mar 1, 2023Achref ChibaniIn 2023, environmental and climate issues will again be at the top of the policy agenda in the Middle East and North Africa. The upcoming COP28 climate confere…
- Policy AnalysisLebanonDemocracy and Governance
Lebanon’s Politicians Are Incapable of Productive Dialogue
Jan 12, 2023Halim ShebayaLebanon has now entered the fourth year of its devastating economic crisis and collapse, with no end in sight and no hint regarding the possible launch of a re…
- Policy Analysis
The IMF and the Arab World: Beyond the Washington Consensus
Jan 4, 2023Throughout the Arab world, there have been numerous protests, uprisings, and challenges to the painful policies that come with an International Monetary Fund (…
- Policy Analysis
The Deeper Context to Political Unrest and Protests in Jordan
Dec 21, 2022Protests have once again rocked the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan, with truckers, bus and taxi drivers, and others in the transportation sector having staged var…
- Policy Analysis
Egypt and the IMF: Greater Foreign Debt and Deeper Economic Decline
Nov 17, 2022Egypt reached a new agreement with the IMF to borrow $3 billion over a 46-month period. The Egyptian economy has been struggling over the past couple of years …
- Policy Analysis
US-Gulf Relations After OPEC+ Production Cuts
Nov 2, 2022American presidents have long relied on Saudi Arabia and its leadership of OPEC to ease price pressure on oil markets, particularly in the lead-up to US electi…
- Policy AnalysisLebanonEnergy and Economics
Lebanon Will Not Benefit from Its Maritime Agreement with Israel
Oct 31, 2022Imad K. HarbAfter ten years of on-again, off-again negotiations, Lebanon and Israel have finally reached what leaders in both countries consider an acceptable deal to dema…
- Viewpoint
With Friends Like These: OPEC’s Oil Production and US-Gulf Relations
Oct 7, 2022In a move that will certainly have serious political and economic repercussions in the United States and around the world, OPEC+, a group of oil-producing nati…
- Policy Analysis
The Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam: Limited Options for a Resolution
Sep 16, 2022On August 12, Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed announced that his country has now completed the third filling of the reservoir behind its controversial Gran…
- Policy AnalysisLebanonEnergy and Economics
Lebanon Struggles to Pick up the Pieces After the Beirut Port Explosion
Sep 9, 2022Yara M. AsiLebanon’s independence in 1943 formally ended a 23-year French mandate backed by the League of Nations, a period that saw the consolidation of the country’s cu…
- Policy AnalysisLebanonEnergy and Economics
An Update on the Lebanon-Israel Border Dispute
Sep 7, 2022Imad K. HarbAs the summer comes to a close, indirect negotiations to demarcate the maritime border between Lebanon and Israel continue apace. Although US mediator Amos Hoc…
- Policy Analysis
Little to Show After Two Years of Tense Lebanese-Israeli Maritime Border Negotiations
Jul 8, 2022Lebanon and Israel have frequently been at odds during their nearly two years of negotiations over the two countries’ Mediterranean maritime border, with diffi…
- Policy Analysis
The Flaws and Failings of the World Bank’s Research on the Palestinian Economy
Jun 21, 2022A recent World Bank report on the Palestinian economy once again demonstrates that most research produced by international financial institutions on this topic…
- Policy Analysis
Food Insecurity in Palestine and the Russia-Ukraine War: The Worst Is Yet to Come
Jun 9, 2022The potential impact of a drop in the supply of grain to global markets due to the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war has increased fears about food insecurity around …
- Policy Analysis
Gulf Countries’ Aid to Egypt: It Is Politics, Not the Economy, Stupid!
May 5, 2022On April 4, 2022, Gulf Arab countries pledged $22 billion to help Egypt avert a currency crisis resulting from the Russian war on Ukraine. The Egyptian pound l…
- Policy AnalysisThe Horn of AfricaEnergy and Economics
Horn of Africa’s Security Concerns and Economic Crises
Apr 27, 2022Gregory AftandilianThe current Russia-Ukraine crisis has overshadowed another troubled region of the world, namely the Horn of Africa, which encompasses Sudan, Eritrea, Djibouti,…
- Policy Analysis
The Need for an International Development Fund for Lebanon
Jan 6, 2022The International Monetary Fund (IMF), World Bank (WB), European Union (EU), France, and the United States are all trying to help Lebanon out of the economic a…
- Policy Analysis
US-Palestinian Economic Talks Serve Israeli Interests
Dec 29, 2021The recent resumption of discussions about economic ties between the US government and the Palestinian Authority (PA) after a five-year hiatus must be understo…
- Policy Analysis
The Conflicted Role of Lebanon’s Central Bank
Oct 12, 2021Over the past few decades, public debt, sectarian nepotism, and fixed exchange rates have been three significant challenges to the Lebanese economy; albeit the…
- Policy Analysis
Lebanon’s Energy Crisis Fuels US-Iran Tensions
Aug 25, 2021In the midst of an economic collapse and an energy crisis, Lebanon has found itself in a tug of war between the United States and Iran. On August 19, Hezbollah…
- Policy Analysis
Will Egypt Live with GERD as a Bitter Reality?
Aug 19, 2021On July 19, Ethiopia announced that it had completed the second filling of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD). This unilateral step had been rejected b…
- Policy Analysis
Challenges Facing Sustainable Development Goals in Arab States
Jul 30, 2021The end of the twentieth century was a tumultuous period for much of the world. Many countries were experiencing economic turmoil, and many hard-won gains in h…
- ViewpointSaudi ArabiaRegional Relations and Geopolitics
Is a Saudi-Emirati Rift on the Horizon?
Jul 7, 2021Imad K. HarbThe Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) appears to be approaching another unwelcome rift, this time between its two most vocal and influential members, Saudi Arabia…
- Policy Analysis
Failures of Authoritarian Governance in Egypt
Apr 28, 2021On March 23, the world's attention turned to Egypt as traffic in the strategic Suez Canal was disrupted after the 400-meter container ship, the Ever Given, ran…
- Policy Analysis
Starving and Being Starved: Addressing Food Insecurity in Arab Populations
Apr 5, 2021After years of civil war and outside intervention, Yemen continues to be widely recognized as having the world’s worst humanitarian crisis. A significant contr…
- Intern CornerThe Arabian Peninsula and The GulfEnergy and Economics
China’s Maritime Challenge to the United States in the Gulf
Mar 30, 2021Gabriella HaedeltThe Arabian Gulf has emerged as a theater of investment, international integration, and rivalry for global powers, especially after Chinese President Xi Jinpin…
- Policy Analysis
Climate Change in the Arab World: An Existential Threat in an Unstable Region
Mar 2, 2021In the mid-2010s, several years into Syria’s brutal civil war, a theory emerged that perhaps the conflict was even more complicated than originally conceived. …
- Policy AnalysisSomaliaSecurity and Defense
Increasing Contestation over the Red Sea and Horn of Africa
Dec 23, 2020Gregory AftandilianGrowing international and regional involvement in the Red Sea-Horn of Africa theater has made this area a potential hot spot that is somewhat reminiscent of Be…
- Policy Analysis
Lebanon Risks Becoming Irrelevant
Nov 11, 2020For the third time in the span of a year, Lebanese politicians are trying to go back to the proverbial drawing board. On October 22nd, President Michel Aoun ap…
- Policy Analysis
US-Russian Competition and the M4 Highway in Syria
Jun 23, 2020Joe Macaron argues that in Syria, implementing the Caesar Act sanctions and opening the east-west M4 Highway reflect intensified US-Russian competition while t…
- Policy Analysis
US Middle East Policy in Free Fall
May 28, 2020Gulf Arab states have little choice but to rely for their security needs on the Trump Administration despite its feckless policy in the Middle East and poor ca…
- Policy Analysis
MbS’s New “Vision 2020”: Reform and Repression
May 5, 2020Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (MbS) will most likely weather the political, economic, and health storms generated by COVID-19. Prompted by th…
- Policy Analysis
The Impact of Low Oil Prices and COVID-19 on Arab Economies
May 4, 2020Bessma Momani analyzes the global oil price collapse and the COVID-19 public health crisis as a dual blow to the social and economic well-being of both oil-ric…
- Policy Analysis
Did the Saudi-Led Oil Deal Diminish Republicans’ 2020 Electoral Chances?
Apr 15, 2020Because the health of the US economy is critical for Donald Trump's reelection hopes, Marcus Montgomery asks if the recent Saudi-led OPEC+ cuts will contribute…
- Policy Analysis
The COVID-19 Pandemic Prompts Debate over Iran Sanctions
Apr 1, 2020Marcus Montgomery details splits in official Washington about how to deal with Iran at this delicate time of the coronavirus outbreak: some want to offer sanct…
- Policy Analysis
Morocco: Despite Some Progress, Many Challenges Remain
Mar 31, 2020Nabeel Khoury discusses Morocco's political and economic conditions and cautions its elite to use the opportunity of the current social calm engendered by the …
- Policy Analysis
The Economic Prospects of the White House’s New Plan for Peace
Feb 25, 2020Evaluating the economic portion of Trump’s plan for Palestinian-Israeli peace, Colin Powers argues that for its economics as much as for its politics and immor…
- Viewpoint
The Collapse of the Syrian Pound May Doom the Syrian Economy
Jan 23, 2020Syria’s most difficult battle now is how to support its national currency and fix its collapsing economy with an impoverished central bank and the absence of r…
- Policy AnalysisLebanonProtests and Activism
The Lebanese Uprising: No End in Sight for the Current Impasse
Nov 20, 2019Joe MacaronJoe Macaron explains the different factors of the current impasse between the Lebanese ruling political class and the protesters, seeing no end in sight for th…
- Policy Analysis
The Limited Utility of the Iran Sanctions
Nov 4, 2019Kenneth Katzman writes that a range of observations and data support the assertion that to date, the Trump Administration’s maximum pressure campaign against I…
- Policy Analysis
The Attacks on Saudi Oil Installations are a Game Changer
Sep 17, 2019The latest attacks on Saudi Arabia’s oil installations are a game changer in Saudi domestic politics and in regional and international affairs.
- Policy Analysis
Positive Economic Growth in Egypt Belies Mounting Problems
Aug 21, 2019Opening up the political and economic systems in Egypt would allow for sustained private sector growth and a free flow of ideas—and criticism—that would keep t…
- Policy Analysis
Tunisia’s Fragile Democracy after Essebsi
Aug 2, 2019Daniel Brumberg argues that Tunisia’s Essebsi leaves behind a political crisis that is partly rooted in a convoluted constitutional language that does not clea…
- Policy Analysis
An Economic Analysis of Kushner’s Failed Plan
Jul 3, 2019“Peace to Prosperity” brings little that is new to the table, follows an ill-suited fundamentalist market ideology, and ignores the Israeli occupation as the m…
- Policy Analysis
What Actually Ails the Palestinian Economy?
Jun 20, 2019The Israeli occupation and lack of freedom for Palestinians are the most salient factors that hamper the Palestinian economy, and this should be blindingly obv…
- Policy Analysis
Inclusive Economic Growth in Arab States
Jun 1, 2019This paper is part of ACW's fourth book, titled The Arab World Beyond Conflict.IntroductionThe global economy is undergoing considerable structural shifts that…
- Policy Analysis
Deep Socioeconomic Disparities Exacerbate Arab Tensions
Jun 1, 2019This paper is part of ACW's fourth book, titled The Arab World Beyond Conflict.The far-reaching turmoil that plagues most Arab countries today reflects problem…
- Policy Analysis
Trump’s Doomed Quest for a Middle East Strategic Alliance
Feb 5, 2019Trump's Middle East Strategic Alliance is doomed because not all states there agree that Iran poses the biggest threat. A larger obstacle is the president's re…
- Policy Analysis
How the Private Sector Supports Authoritarians in the Arab World
Jan 30, 2019The private sector in the United States and around the world has a responsibility to confront authoritarian regimes and help protect human rights and the rule …
- Policy Analysis
The Eastern Mediterranean Gas Forum Reinforces Current Regional Dynamics
Jan 25, 2019The recently announced Eastern Mediterranean Gas Forum is not likely to aid cooperation or economic integration because the policies of its member states mirro…
- Viewpoint
Qatar Withdraws from OPEC: Business, Politics, or Both?
Dec 6, 2018It strains credulity to believe that Qatar’s decision to withdraw from OPEC was taken in total isolation from the regional conflict and tensions with neighbors.
- Policy Analysis
Controlling the Nasib Crossing Is a Game Changer for the Syrian Regime
Jul 19, 2018The imminent opening of the Nasib crossing on the Syrian-Jordanian border could revitalize commercial activities in the Levant; but challenges lie ahead, inclu…
- Policy Analysis
Libya: Controlling Oil, Fearing Partition
Jul 16, 2018In light of Libya’s institutional fragmentation between east and west, control of the Oil Crescent and its revenues has become a determining factor in the coun…
- Policy Analysis
The Egypt-Ethiopia Nile Water Crisis: a Cause for Regional Tensions?
Jul 5, 2018While the Ethiopian dam on the Nile could be a source of conflict in east Africa, and while relations among Egypt, Ethiopia, and Sudan will remain unsettled fo…
- Viewpoint
Pompeo Peddles Disaster for American Interests
May 22, 2018Another spectacle of a confused American foreign policy was on display on May 21, 2018 at the Heritage Foundation, where Secretary of State Mike Pompeo deliver…
- Policy AnalysisLevantEnergy and Economics
Between Idealism and Realpolitik: Erdoğan’s Quest for Palestine
Apr 26, 2018Mustafa GurbuzTurkey’s active policy for Palestine enables Ankara to strengthen its ties to the Palestinian Authority and Hamas simultaneously and thus to bolster its role a…
- Policy Analysis
A Saudi Comeback to Lebanese Politics?
Mar 14, 2018Nearly 100 days after his mysterious “captivity” in the Saudi capital, Lebanese Prime Minister Saad al-Hariri visited Riyadh again on February 28. The timing c…
- Policy Analysis
Turkey’s Challenge to Arab Interests in the Horn of Africa
Feb 22, 2018Turkey’s policies and many activities around the Red Sea and the Horn of Africa have added complications to the already complex strategic picture of the Middle…
- Policy Analysis
Jordanian-Iraqi Relations on the Mend, but Problems Remain
Feb 8, 2018Economic necessities and opposition to the so-called Islamic State have brought Jordan and Iraq closer together, but Amman remains concerned about Baghdad’s li…
- Policy Analysis
Turkey’s Policy toward a Fractured Libya
Dec 12, 2017Turkey is interested in being on good terms with all Libyan factions but is caught up in the complex relations between Libya’s political forces and their regio…
- Policy Analysis
The GCC’s Future Is in the Balance after Its 38th Summit Meeting
Dec 7, 2017The GCC should be preserved despite the failure of its 38th summit meeting in Kuwait and the establishment of a Saudi Arabian-Emirati new political and militar…
- Policy Analysis
Domestic Troubles for the Saudi Arabian Leadership
Oct 24, 2017Mohammed bin Salman’s challenge to established norms of governance in Saudi Arabia and the abrupt changes in its economic and social conditions may help pull t…
- Policy Analysis
An Economic Explanation for Egypt’s Alignment in the GCC Crisis
Aug 9, 2017With Egypt heavily reliant on Saudi Arabia and the UAE for its economic stability and survival, Cairo may not find much room for independent foreign policy dec…
- Policy Analysis
Challenges Facing Algeria’s Future
Jul 21, 2017Algeria is challenged by a lethargic political system headed by an ailing president, a poorly performing rentier economy, and a rising Salafi Islam that is com…