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- Policy Analysis
Biden’s Warmed-over Ceasefire Proposal
Jun 6, 2024In the midst of what the White House touted to supporters as a significant update of his administration’s diplomatic efforts regarding the eight-month-old unab…
- Policy Analysis
Biden’s Gaza Announcement: What to Make of the Bizarre Spectacle
Jun 4, 2024On May 31, President Joe Biden announced what he described as a “comprehensive new proposal” offered by Israel for ending the war in Gaza that would be “a road…
- Policy Analysis
UAERegional Relations and GeopoliticsUAE Restricts US Military Strikes from Its Territory
May 22, 2024Gregory AftandilianFearing an attack by Iran or its allied militias in the region, the United Arab Emirates (UAE) has restricted US military aircraft from targeting these proxy g…
- Viewpoint
Whitewashing Biden’s Policy on Gaza
May 21, 2024On May 13, National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan addressed the media in the White House press room on current developments in the Middle East, focusing on th…
- Policy Analysis
Saudi ArabiaUS Foreign PolicyThe Gaza Crisis Pushes Washington and Riyadh Closer
May 15, 2024Daniel BrumbergHamas’s May 6 acceptance of a hostage deal proposed by Egypt and Qatar was surely designed to induce the White House to pressure Israel to produce a counteroff…
- Policy Analysis
Iraq’s Sudani Runs the Risks of Sustained Relations with the United States
May 7, 2024On his recent visit to the United States, Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia` al-Sudani proposed a bold new relationship with America, basing it on the joint S…
- Policy Analysis
Saudi-Israeli Normalization Persists Amid Gaza War
May 3, 2024Before “Operation Al-Aqsa Flood,” launched by Hamas on October 7, 2023, the Biden administration was attempting to conclude a diplomatic groundbreaking deal in…
- Policy Analysis
The Gaza War Still Can Decide the American Presidential Election
Apr 24, 2024Latest polls indicate that President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump are in a dead heat in the presidential race at this point in the campaign, whi…
- Policy Analysis
Hezbollah-Israel War Is Becoming Inevitable, and the United States May Not Prevent It
Apr 10, 2024Patricia Karam evaluates the possibility of a war between Hezbollah and Israel that would be a major escalation in the Middle East as the United States tries t…
- Policy Analysis
Gaza, Biden, and an American Intifada
Mar 27, 2024As Israel’s devastating Gaza invasion wears on, tensions between President Joe Biden and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu are spiking, endangering the…
- Policy Analysis
Saudi ArabiaRegional Relations and GeopoliticsSaudi Arabia May Be Taking Center Stage in Post-Gaza Peace
Feb 28, 2024Kristian Coates UlrichsenWith Israel’s war on Gaza in its fifth month amid ongoing international pressure for a ceasefire, Saudi Arabia has become the focus of much attention over what…
- Policy Analysis
YemenUS Foreign PolicyInstead of Houthi Designation, the United States Should Embrace a Comprehensive Approach
Feb 28, 2024Afrah NasserOn January 17, the United States designated the Houthis in Yemen, also known as Ansar Allah, as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT) in response to t…
- Policy Analysis
US Troops to Stay in Syria and Iraq but Perhaps Not for Long
Feb 22, 2024In recent weeks, there have been meetings in Washington and in Baghdad about the presence in Iraq and Syria of US troops, whose official mandate is to aid loca…
- Viewpoint
Congress Works to Give More Aid to Israel, None for UNRWA
Feb 16, 2024On February 13, the Senate voted 70-29 to pass a $95.3 billion national security supplemental package (H.R.815) to provide additional security assistance to Uk…
- Policy Analysis
The Biden Administration’s Confused Response to Israel’s Rafah Operation
Feb 15, 2024At the center of US coverage of the Israeli war on Gaza in recent days is the rift between President Joe Biden and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu regarding …
- Policy Analysis
How the Gaza War Is Upending US Middle East Policy
Feb 2, 2024As the Israel-Hamas war threatens to pull the United States into a broader conflict that would potentially upend US standing and policy, peace and stability in…
- Policy Analysis
From Gaza to Yemen and Back: The Biden Administration’s Confused Strategy
Feb 1, 2024On January 17, the Biden administration announced it was adding Yemen’s Houthis (also called Ansar Allah) to the US terrorist list. The move returned the rebel…
- Policy Analysis
The Sunday Talk Shows on Gaza: A Study in Media Bias
Jan 31, 2024That the American public is not regarded as especially well-informed when it comes to international affairs is conventional wisdom among the US political and n…
- Policy Analysis
Iran Between Managing Allies and Modulating Its Deterrence
Jan 25, 2024This is a bad time for Iran to become embroiled in an expanding regional war that pits the Islamic Republic and its allies in Iraq, Lebanon, and Yemen against …
- Policy Analysis
YemenUS Foreign PolicyThe Biden Administration Is Strong in the Red Sea but Weak in Gaza
Jan 24, 2024Gregory AftandilianAfter enduring weeks of regional tension, including Houthi rebel attacks on shipping in the Red Sea and on American commercial vessels, the Biden administratio…
- Viewpoint
Deciphering Blinken’s Unguarded Optimism
Jan 18, 2024The Biden administration announced its first Middle East initiative of the new year on January 4, 2024, by dispatching Secretary of State Antony Blinken to the…
- Policy Analysis
Russia and China on Gaza: Sidelined, Lurking—or Winning?
Dec 22, 2023It wasn’t that long ago that Russia and China seemed to dominate the Middle East, and the United States was on the brink of relegation to the sidelines.Russia …
- Policy Analysis
The Israel-Hamas War in American Politics
Dec 21, 2023Any rational discourse in the United States about the Israel-Hamas war increasingly has been subject to political litmus tests, as Israel supporters and Republ…
- Policy Analysis
Palestine/IsraelUS Foreign PolicyAre Israel and the United States on a Collision Course?
Dec 13, 2023Daniel BrumbergIn a December 8 story that seems to have received little attention in western press coverage of Israel’s expanding military campaign in Gaza was this nugget of…
- Policy Analysis
Gaza, the Ruin of US Policy, and a Transformed Middle East
Nov 16, 2023The Biden administration must act quickly and offer specific plans and timelines to shape post-conflict expectations and establish its priorities with the part…
- Policy Analysis
US Military Presence in the Middle East: Deterrence and Retaliation
Nov 14, 2023The United States has recently bolstered its military presence in the Middle East as the Israeli war on Gaza escalated. Bolstering this presence is meant to de…
- Policy Analysis
The War on Gaza: Deterrence or Inching toward Direct US Involvement?
Oct 17, 2023The official American position has passed through three phases in less than ten days. First, like Israel itself, Washington and its western allies suffered fro…
- Policy Analysis
A New Diplomatic Path Is Urgent after Gaza, But Without the Previous Mistakes
Oct 16, 2023The horrifying October 7 attack on Israel by Hamas militants has left the world aghast. The murder of Israelis (and Americans, French, Russians, Ukrainians, an…
- Viewpoint
EgyptUS Foreign PolicyThe Menendez Fiasco: Implications for US-Egyptian Relations
Oct 4, 2023Khalil E. JahshanWashington has been abuzz lately over the shocking political intrigue involving the Egyptian government of Abdel Fattah el-Sisi and the powerful former chairma…
- Viewpoint
The Awkward Biden-Netanyahu Encounter Was a Dud
Sep 22, 2023Although the United States and Israel have enjoyed a uniquely close alliance since the latter’s declaration of statehood on May 14, 1948, the bilateral relatio…
- Policy Analysis
Assessing the Abraham Accords, Three Years On
Aug 31, 2023Arab-Israeli normalization is one of those curious policy areas where the Biden administration has enthusiastically pursued its predecessor’s positions, even i…
- Policy Analysis
The Saudi-Israeli Normalization Gambit: Deal or No Deal?
Aug 30, 2023After weeks of conflicting accounts from columnists and journalists about the outcome of the Biden administration’s intensive shuttle diplomacy aimed at convin…
- Policy Analysis
Joe Biden’s Imaginary Middle East Policy
Aug 24, 2023Over his more than four decades of service as a US senator, vice president, and now as president, Joe Biden has cultivated an image of the consummate foreign p…
- Policy Analysis
Israel Is Unlikely to Respect US Visa Waiver Program Rules
Aug 22, 2023The United States recently announced that starting July 20, 2023, Israel would enter a trial period to determine whether it qualifies for admission into the US…
- Policy Analysis
Palestine/IsraelUS Foreign PolicyEnding Military Aid to Israel: The Death of a Taboo?
Aug 21, 2023Yousef MunayyerIf there is one thing that characterizes American-Israeli relations more than any other it is US military aid to Israel, which currently amounts to nearly $4 b…
- Policy Analysis
US Troop Buildup in the Gulf Reemphasizes Military Power
Aug 15, 2023The US military has recently significantly increased its presence in the Arabian Gulf, a show of force aimed primarily at deterring Iran from attacking or hara…
- Policy Analysis
US Negotiations for a Tripartite Agreement with Saudi Arabia and Israel: Context and Calculations
Aug 14, 2023Saudi Arabia and the United States are conducting complex negotiations in order to achieve a tripartite agreement that would include normalization between the …
- Policy Analysis
IraqDemocracy and GovernanceIran’s Hardliners on the March: The Quiet Before the Storm?
Aug 3, 2023Daniel BrumbergThe recent redeployment of Iran’s dreaded “morality police” signals much more than a victory for the country’s hardliners. Instead, it seems to be part and par…
- Viewpoint
Americans Opt for a Democratic Israel, Not a Jewish State
Jul 20, 2023The University of Maryland and Ipsos conducted a “Critical Issues Poll” from June 21 to 27 to probe Americans’ views on Israel, Zionism, and anti-Semitism. The…
- Policy Analysis
North AfricaSecurity and DefenseThe Fate of the Wagner Group in Syria, Libya, and Sudan
Jul 18, 2023Gregory AftandilianThe failed mutiny by Yevgeny Prigozhin has put the fate of his Wagner Group doubt, not only in Ukraine but in several Arab states as well.
- Policy Analysis
Are the United States and Iran Moving Closer to a New Nuclear Deal?
Jul 14, 2023The last few weeks have witnessed an active diplomatic movement between Tehran and Western countries, especially the United States, regarding resolving the cri…
- Policy Analysis
US Visa Waiver Program: Israel Will Not Reciprocate
Jul 10, 2023The United States Visa Waiver Program (VWP) permits, on a reciprocal basis, the entry of citizens of about 40 countries for 90 days for business or tourism wit…
- Policy Analysis
Saudi ArabiaRegional Relations and GeopoliticsThe UAE-Saudi Arabia Rivalry Becomes a Rift
Jul 6, 2023Charles W. DunneSaudi Arabia and the UAE are waging a quiet struggle to determine who will emerge as the Arabian Gulf’s—and maybe the Arab world’s—preeminent power.
- Policy Analysis
Palestine/IsraelJustice, Equality, and Human RightsIsrael’s Attack on Jenin Refugee Camp: The Next Stage of Apartheid
Jul 5, 2023Yousef MunayyerThe Jenin refugee camp sits adjacent to the Palestinian city of Jenin in the north of the occupied West Bank. The camp’s registered population numbers around 2…
- Policy Analysis
Saudi-US Relations in a Changing Global and Regional Landscape
Jun 29, 2023Kristian Coates Ulrichsen discusses the current state of Saudi-US relations as Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman seeks to chart a new course in domestic and for…
- Policy Analysis
SudanUS Foreign PolicyThe US and the Sudan Conflict: Motives and Ability to Influence Events
Jun 27, 2023Arab Center for Research and Policy StudiesThe United States and Saudi Arabia announced on June 17, 2023 that both sides to the conflict in Sudan—the Sudanese Army Forces (SAF) and the Rapid Support For…
- Policy Analysis
TurkeyDemocracy and GovernanceThe Erdoğan Doctrine in the Wake of Turkey’s Elections
Jun 22, 2023Mustafa GurbuzWhen Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan announced his new cabinet following his victory in the May 2023 presidential election, a positive mood ensued. Turk…
- Policy Analysis
Despite US Efforts, Iran is Ascendant
Jun 21, 2023Iran today is not nearly as isolated as Washington had hoped and it has scored some impressive successes in advancing its regional agenda.
- Policy Analysis
Shock and Awe: Life in Iraq Twenty Years after the US-led Invasion
Jun 16, 2023This year marks a significant milestone in the American-led “Global War on Terror,” especially in relation to Iraq. It has been 20 years since former Secretary…
- Policy Analysis
US Foreign PolicyCongress Is Not Ready to Leave the Middle East
May 31, 2023Douglas ChristensenOn March 29, 2023 the Senate voted to repeal the 1991 and 2002 Authorizations for the Use of Military Force (AUMF) for Iraq, attempting to end the two-decade-l…
- Policy Analysis
Democrats and Republicans’ Positions on Israel Ahead of the 2024 Election
May 24, 2023Although relations with Israel are usually foreign policy talking points for American politicians ahead of national elections, it seems that the issue has come…
- Policy Analysis
Twenty Years after “Mission Accomplished” in Iraq: A Critical Assessment
May 2, 2023The crisis had been building for months when, on March 20, 2003, this author stood with a group of military officers deep inside the Pentagon, watching a telev…
- Policy Analysis
Palestine/IsraelRegional Relations and GeopoliticsIsrael’s Normalization with Arab States Slows as Repression of Palestinians Rises
Apr 19, 2023Gregory AftandilianIsrael’s extreme right-wing government and its draconian policies toward the Palestinians have slowed down efforts to expand the so-called Abraham Accords, a p…
- Viewpoint
EgyptThe War in UkraineThe Fallout of Sisi’s Gambit with Russia
Apr 14, 2023Khalil Al-AnaniA leaked US intelligence document has revealed that Egypt's President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi allegedly instructed officials to secretly produce and ship rockets,…
- Policy Analysis
The United States’ Weak Response to the Netanyahu Government
Apr 12, 2023In December of last year, Benjamin Netanyahu once again returned to the position of prime minister in Israel, leading a new far-right governing coalition that …
- Policy Analysis
IranSecurity and DefenseIran’s Nuclear Program Poses Challenges for China and the United States
Mar 29, 2023Daniel BrumbergNow that China has brokered a renewal of relations between Iran and Saudi Arabia, it must translate that achievement into real tangible benefits. After all, fo…
- Policy Analysis
Iraq 20 Years since the 2003 US Invasion
Mar 24, 2023On March 20, 2003, the United States led an invasion of Iraq supposedly meant to halt its development of weapons of mass destruction. Lacking the support of th…
- Policy Analysis
The Arab WorldUS Foreign PolicyUS Middle East Policy: The Trump-Biden Doctrine in Action
Mar 22, 2023Charles W. DunneAll US presidents, it seems, need their own foreign policy “doctrine.” President James Monroe famously started the trend in 1823, and many others—Truman, Eisen…
- Viewpoint
The Aqaba Joint Communique Dies in Huwwara
Feb 28, 2023On Sunday, February 26, 2023, the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan hosted Israeli, Palestinian, Egyptian, and US officials in Aqaba, Jordan to try to stem the worri…
- Policy Analysis
SyriaSecurity and DefenseSyrian Kurds Are Hoping for, but Not Banking On, Continued US Partnership
Feb 24, 2023Gregory AftandilianThe massive earthquake that struck southern Turkey and northwestern Syria has given the Syrian Kurds a reprieve from a possible Turkish military invasion of ar…
- Policy Analysis
Washington Doubles Down on Middle East Ties
Feb 15, 2023Reducing US commitments in the Middle East and pivoting to Asia has been a hot topic among foreign policy analysts and Middle East experts since the idea was p…
- Policy Analysis
AlgeriaUS Foreign PolicyUS-Algeria Relations Remain Troubled, but Neither Side Wants a Break
Jan 25, 2023Gregory AftandilianRelations between Washington and Algiers have remained at a low point ever since the Trump administration, in its last month in office, recognized Moroccan sov…
- Policy Analysis
The Biden Administration and the Middle East in 2023
Jan 4, 2023The first two years of the Biden administration, although short, have offered insight into the ways in which the reality of governing can clash with declared h…
- Policy Analysis
The Gordian Knot: A Bird’s Eye View of US-Israel Relations
Dec 20, 2022Nabeel Khoury takes a broad view of American-Israeli relations, highlighting the issue of robust US military aid to Israel and intelligence sharing between the…
- Policy Analysis
What Lies Ahead for Saudi Arabia in the 118th US Congress
Dec 7, 2022New challenges abound for President Joe Biden in 2023. The loss of a Democratic majority in the House of Representatives for the 118th Congress promises to lea…
- Policy Analysis
The US Midterm Elections Spell Further Trouble for the JCPOA
Dec 2, 2022In November, Americans went to the polls to cast their votes in the congressional midterm elections. In the end, voters dealt a major blow to Republican party …
- Policy Analysis
US-Gulf Relations After OPEC+ Production Cuts
Nov 2, 2022American presidents have long relied on Saudi Arabia and its leadership of OPEC to ease price pressure on oil markets, particularly in the lead-up to US electi…
- Policy Analysis
EgyptJustice, Equality, and Human RightsCongress Versus Biden on Foreign Assistance to Egypt
Nov 1, 2022Charles W. DunneThe Egypt Human Rights Caucus would like a word with President Joe Biden. The group, which was formed in January 2021 on the 10th anniversary of Egypt’s 2011 u…
- Policy Analysis
Biden’s Syria Policy: Steady Non-commitment and Persistent Failure
Sep 20, 2022The Biden administration’s Syria policy, as well as its policy for the Middle East in general, stems from priorities and practices set in place during the eigh…
- Policy Analysis
IranUS Foreign PolicyNo Plan B for the US as Geostrategic Shifts Threaten to Scuttle Iran Nuclear Deal
Sep 20, 2022Daniel BrumbergWhat a difference a few days can make in the Middle East. On August 28 National Security Council Spokesperson John Kirby addressed the diplomatic maneuvering t…
- Policy Analysis
Gauging Gulf Responses to President Biden’s Middle East Diplomacy
Aug 31, 2022When examining how the members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) perceived and reacted to US President Joe Biden’s July visit to the Middle East, the Gulf …
- Policy Analysis
Palestine/IsraelReligion and PoliticsAmerican Evangelicals, the Gulf States, and Israel: A Cynical Covenant
Aug 24, 2022Mimi KirkEach July, Christians United for Israel (CUFI), the largest pro-Israel organization in the United States, holds a multi-day conference that culminates in a day…
- Policy Analysis
Comparing the Palestinian and Irish-Catholic Struggles
Aug 18, 2022Daoud Kuttab compares Irish and Palestinian experiences with occupation and settlement, building on a remark made by President Biden during his July 2022 trip …
- Policy Analysis
Biden Fails to Counter Russia and China in the Middle East
Aug 17, 2022Charles W. Dunne writes that President Biden’s July 2022 trip to the Middle East to reassert American supremacy in the region and among US allies ran into the …
- Policy Analysis
Biden’s Embrace of Arab Autocrats Ends Hopes for Democracy in the Middle East
Aug 10, 2022Khalil al-Anani writes that President Biden’s recent meetings with the leaders of Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and the UAE sent a clear message to the world’s authorit…


























