Policy Analysis

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  • Policy Analysis
    LebanonRegional Relations and Geopolitics

    Neither Iran nor Israel: Saudi Arabia’s Vision for Lebanon

    Jul 28, 2026Giorgio Cafiero

    Saudi Crown Prince and Prime Minister Mohammed bin Salman (MBS)’s recent reaffirmation of support for Lebanese President Joseph Aoun underscores an increasingl…

  • Policy Analysis
    LebanonConflicts and Conflict Resolution

    The Trilateral Framework Agreement: Drivers and Implications for Lebanon

    Jun 30, 2026The Unit for Political Studies

    On 26 June, the United States announced that a "trilateral framework" had been agreed between Lebanon and Israel – with US support, redefining the nature of th…

  • Policy Analysis
    LebanonUS Foreign Policy

    US Policy Toward Lebanon in a Time of War

    Apr 10, 2026Patricia Karam

    Following the expansion of its ground operations in South Lebanon in late March 2026, Israel has significantly intensified airstrikes across the country, inclu…

  • Policy Analysis
    LebanonConflicts and Conflict Resolution

    Crisis and Solidarity in Lebanon

    Mar 12, 2026Patricia Karam

    The widening of hostilities following the March 2026 US-Israeli attacks on Iran has placed Lebanon on a dangerous trajectory. Hezbollah’s decision to enter the…

  • Collective Analysis
    IranUS Foreign Policy

    The US-Israel War on Iran: Analyses and Perspectives

    Mar 2, 2026Susan M. Akram Charles W. Dunne Amy Hawthorne Patricia Karam Khalil E. Jahshan Annelle Sheline Kristian Coates Ulrichsen

    The United States has joined Israel in an all-out war on the Islamic Republic of Iran. On February 28, 2026, a US armada of two aircraft carrier strike groups …

  • Policy Analysis
    LebanonDemocracy and Governance

    A First-Year Assessment of Lebanon’s Governing Coalition

    Feb 4, 2026Patricia Karam

    In January 2025, President Joseph Aoun took the oath of office and in his inaugural address declared the start of a “new era.” The government then began to rec…

  • Policy Analysis
    LebanonEnergy and Economics

    Financial Regulation as the Foundation of Sovereignty? A Path to Disarmament for Lebanon

    Dec 26, 2025Patricia Karam

    Since 2019, Lebanon has experienced cumulative economic and institutional breakdown, leaving the state hollowed out, public trust shattered, and large segments…

  • Collective Analysis
    LebanonConflicts and Conflict Resolution

    Tabatabai’s Killing: Perspectives on Hezbollah

    Nov 25, 2025Imad K. Harb Patricia Karam Nabeel A. Khoury

    On November 23, 2025, Israel succeeded in assassinating Hezbollah’s chief military commander, Haitham Ali Tabatabai, in its latest violation of the ceasefire n…

  • Policy Analysis
    LebanonConflicts and Conflict Resolution

    Will the Ceasefire in Gaza Impact Disarmament in Lebanon?

    Oct 22, 2025Patricia Karam

    In late September 2025, nearly two years after the start of Israel’s war on Gaza, President Donald Trump unveiled a highly touted 20-point “peace plan” that pr…

  • Policy Analysis
    LebanonEnergy and Economics

    Can Lebanon Be a Hub for Syria’s Reconstruction?

    Sep 24, 2025Patricia Karam

    Nearly a year after the end of Syria’s civil war and the fall of the Assad dictatorship, the country has embarked on a long and complex reconstruction process.…

  • Policy Analysis
    LebanonSecurity and Defense

    Disarming Hezbollah: Lebanon at a Crossroads

    Aug 20, 2025Patricia Karam

    The only viable route to lasting stability, economic recovery, and sovereignty is to restore the Lebanese state's constitutional monopoly over arms through a t…

  • Policy Analysis
    LebanonRegional Relations and Geopolitics

    Rumors and Risks: Lebanon’s Political Anxieties and Relations with the New Syria

    Aug 12, 2025Patricia Karam

    In May 2025, Syria’s transitional President, Ahmed al-Sharaa, confirmed that his government was in indirect communication with Israel, the first time the two s…

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